RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES IN POLAND

0,96
MB

56
stron

125
ID EC Baltic Renewable Energy Centre

2001
rok

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction5

2 Aim of the Project.6

3 Polish Fuel and Energy Sector6

3.1 Introduction6

3.2 Structure of Primary Energy Consumption in Poland.7

3.3 Energy Consumption Structure by Sectors of Economy8

3.4 Presentation of Power Sector.8

3.5 Presentation of Heat Sector.9

3.6 Presentation of RES Sector9

4 SAFIRE MODEL12

4.1 Introduction.12

4.2 Data Base12

4.3 Calculation Algorithm.14

4.4 Technical potential.15

4.5 Selection of Scenarios.16

4.6 Definition of the Scenarios18

4.6.1 Assumptions in the Reference Scenario (RS)18

4.6.2 Assumptions for the Renewable Energy Strategy (RES).24

4.6.3 Assumptions to Obligation Scenario28

5 Results of the scenario modelling.31

5.1 Economic vs. technical potential under individual scenarios.31

5.2 Renewable energy contribution to primary energy under individual scenarios32

5.3 Renewable energy contribution to electricity production under scenarios34

5.4 Contribution of renewable technologies to energy production in Poland36

5.5 Predicted development of renewable technologies36

5.6 Contribution of renewables to energy consumption structure by sector38

5.7 Projected impact of new renewable projects on creation of new jobs.40

5.8 Projected reduction in carbon dioxide emissions by new renewable projects42

5.9 Projected impact of new renewable projects on state budget.42

6 Conclusions and recommendations49