Baseline projections of selected waste streams

0,29

MB

51

stron

1685

ID

European Environment Agency

2000

rok

Contents

1. Introduction4

1.1. De-linking waste generation from economic growth . 5

1.2. Information gaps . 6

2. Scope and structure of the report .7

3. Scientific research on future developments in waste generation -state of the art .8

4. The Coopers & Lybrand approcah .9

5. The DGXI priority study .10

6. Development of baseline projections for selected waste streams.11

6.1. Methodological considerations 11

6.2. Municipal waste/household waste . 13

6.2.1. Test and application of the model. 14

6.2.2. Main results 15

6.3. Glass, paper and cardboard waste 16

6.3.1. Test and application of the model. 17

6.3.2. Main results 17

6.4. End-of-life vehicles 20

6.4.1. Total number of cars 20

6.4.2. End of life vehicles . 20

6.4.3. Results and evaluation of the projections . 21

6.4.4. Conclusions 22

References 23

Annex I Economic data 24

I.1. Historical observations 25

I.2. Projection of economic variables . 26

I.2.1. Base-line scenario 26

I.2.2. Projection of relevant OECD figures. 27

Annex II Municipal waste/household waste .29

II.1 Historical observations . 29

II.2. Projection of municipal waste/household waste . 30

II.2.1. Summary of projections 31

II.2.2. Run of model (Austria) 33

Annex III Paper and cardboard waste34

III.1. Historical observations . 35

III.2. Projection of paper and cardboard waste arisings 35

III.2.1. Summary of projections 37

III.2.2. Run of model (Austria) 40

Annex IV Glass waste.42

IV.1. Historical observations . 42

IV.2. Projection of glass waste arisings . 42

IV.2.1 Summary of projections 43

IV.2.2. Run of model (Austria) 46

Annex V End-of-life-vehicles 48