Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis

28,3

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882

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2355

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Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

2003

rok

Contents

Foreword vii

Preface ix

Summary for Policymakers 1

Technical Summary 21

1 The Climate System: an Overview 85

2 Observed Climate Variability and Change 99

3 The Carbon Cycle and Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide 183

4 Atmospheric Chemistry and Greenhouse Gases 239

5 Aerosols, their Direct and Indirect Effects 289

6 Radiative Forcing of Climate Change 349

7 Physical Climate Processes and Feedbacks 417

8 Model Evaluation 471

9 Projections of Future Climate Change 525

10 Regional Climate Information – Evaluation and Projections 583

11 Changes in Sea Level 639

12 Detection of Climate Change and Attribution of Causes 695

13 Climate Scenario Development 739

14 Advancing Our Understanding 769

Appendix I Glossary 787

Appendix II SRES Tables 799

Appendix III Contributors to the IPCC WGI Third Assessment Report 827

Appendix IV Reviewers of the IPCC WGI Third Assessment Report 845

Appendix V Acronyms and Abbreviations 861

Appendix VI Units 869

Appendix VII Some Chemical Symbols used in this Report 871

Appendix VIII Index 873