SWEDEN AND THE NEGP: A Pilot Study of the North European Gas

0,99
MB Pipeline and Sweden’s Dependence on Russian Energy

75
stron

3695
ID Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI)

2006
rok

Content

FOREWORD..

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.

CONTENT

INTRODUCTION

Europe’s Diversification and International Competition

The NEGP – A Change in the Strategic Pattern

Aim of the Study

Approach of the Study..

Outline of the Study

2 THE NORTH EUROPEAN GAS PIPELINE..

Russia’s View

Germany’s View..

The Personal Russian-German Connections..

Poland’s View

Estonia’s, Latvia’s and Lithuania’s View.

The View of Sweden and other Baltic Sea Littoral States.

3 THE NEGP - ISSUES OF CONCERN.

Increased Russian Leverage on the non-NEPG-connected Neighbours

Increased Russian Leverage on the NEPG-connected States.

Domestic Energy Concerns

Risks of Appeasement

The Risk of Regional and Intra-EU Frictions.

Becoming Dependent on Scare Resources

Further Consequences and Issue of Concern.

4 SWEDEN’S ENERGY SITUATION.

Sweden’s Energy Situation.

Sweden’s Energy Sensitivity – Russia in Focus.

Sweden’s Energy Vulnerability.

5 ENERGY FROM RUSSIA’S POINT OF VIEW

Russia’s Perceptions.

Russia’s Capabilities.

Russia’s Energy Supply Interruptions

Russia’s Coercive Energy Policy in Aggregated Terms

6 POTENTIAL BARRIERS AND TRIGGERS?

Barriers against Supply Interruptions

APPENDIX: ACRONYMS.

BIBLIOGRAPHY.

REPORTS ON THE BALTIC SEA REGION, RUSSIA OR ENERGY