CHEMICAL STOCKPILE DISPOSAL PROGRAM RAPID ACCIDENT

6,85

MB

ASSESSMENT

108

stron

3773

ID

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

2003

rok

TABLE OF CONTENTS

LISTOFTABLES .. v

ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS vii

ABSTRACT . ix

1 . INTRODUCTION ANDSUMMARY .. 1

2 . APPROACH . 3

2.1 LOCIC 3

2.1.1 Input 3

2.1.2 Detection .. 3

2.1.3 Identification 3

2.1.4 Estimated Release .. 4

2.1.5 Estimated Consequences . 4

2.1.6 Accident Categories . 5

2.2 PROGRAM .. 5

3. USE OF RISK-ANALYSIS DATA 11

3.1 ACCIDENT PROBABILITY . 11

3.2 ACCIDENT LOCATION TABLES 11

3.2.1 VXMines . 28

3.2.2 GEI M55 Rockets .. 28

3.2.3 VX u55 Rockets .. 29

3.2.4 GB 750 lb . Bombs . 30

3.2.5 VXSprayTanks .. 31

3.2.6 GB Bulk Containers 31

3.2.7 VX Bulk Containen 32

3.2.8 H. HD. and HT BukContakn 32

3.2.9 H. HD. and €IT 4.2-in. Mortar Projectiles 33

3.2.10 GB 105-mrn Projectile 33

3.2.11 H. HD. HT 105-mm Projectiles 34

3.2.12 GB 155-mmProjectiles 34

3.2.13 VX 155-mm Projectiles 35

3.2.14 H. HD, HT 155-mm Projectiles 35

3.2.15 GB 8-in . Projectile 36

3.2.16 VX 8-in . Projectile 36

4.SENSORS 39

4.1 Chemical Sensors Available .. 39

4.2 Remote Sensing Systems . 39

5.CONCLUSIONS . 41

REFERENCES .. 43

APPEND1 CES . 45