Visions of Sustainability in the Baltic Sea Region: Beyond

0,19

MB

Conventional Development

36

stron

3930

ID

Stockholm Environment Institute—Boston Center

1999

rok

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION 1

1.1 Sustainable Development in the Baltic Region. 1

1.2 Key Issues 3

1.3 On the Use of Scenarios. 4

1.4 This Report 5

2 A CONVENTIONAL DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO 7

2.1. Overview 7

2.2 Sectoral Patterns11

2.3. Conventional Development vs. Sustainable Development .15

3 A SUSTAINABILITY VISION 17

3.1. Elements of the Vision .17

3.2. Driving Forces and Key Actors.23

4 DISCUSSION 25

ANNEX: DATA TABLES 29

TABLE OF FIGURES

Figure 1. Sulphur and Nitrogen Budgets of Baltic Sea Region . 2

Figure 2. What is included in a sustainable Baltic Sea Region? 2

Figure 3. Conventional Development Scenario Indicators for the Baltic Region. 8

Figure 4. Subregional Indicators. 9

Figure 5. Income Trends10

Figure 6. Economic Structure .11

Figure 7. Primary Energy Supply12

Figure 9. Water Withdrawals.14

Figure 10. Water Use-to-Resource Ratio .15

Figure 11. Illustrative GDP per capita growth assumptions in NWBR and SEBR18

Figure 12. Environmental Impact as the Product of Population, Economic Activity and Technology.19