Converging Technologies for Improving Human Performance

3,57
MB

424
stron

4320
ID National Science Foundation

2003
rok

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ix

OVERVIEW 1

1. Background 1

2. Timely and Broad Opportunity 2

3. Vision for Enhancing Human Abilities and Societal Performance 4

4. Strategies for Transformation 7

5. Towards Unifying Science and Converging Technology 9

6. Major Themes 12

7. Future Prospects. 14

8. Recommendations 20

GENERAL STATEMENTS AND VISIONARY PROJECTS 25

A. MOTIVATION AND OUTLOOK 25

Theme A Summary

Statements

National Strategy towards Converging Science and Technology (C.H. Huettner) 27

Converging Technologies and Competitiveness (P. Bond) 28

Vision for the Converging Technologies (N. Gingrich) . 31

Zone of Convergence Between Bio/Info/Nano Technologies: NASA’s Nanotechnology Initiative (S.

Venneri, M. Hirschbein, M. Dastoor) 48

Biomedicine Eyes 2020 (J. Watson). 51

Balancing Opportunities and Investments for NBIC (R.S. Williams, P. Kuekes) 58

The Impact of Convergent Technologies and the Future of Business and the Economy (J. Canton,).

61

Coherence and Divergence of Megatrends in Science and Engineering (M.C. Roco). 69

iv Contents

B. EXPANDING HUMAN COGNITION AND COMMUNICATION 85

Theme B Summary 85

Statements

NBICS (Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno-Socio) Convergence to Improve Human Performance: Opportunities

and Challenges (J. Spohrer). 89

Sensor System Engineering Insights on Improving Human Cognition and Communication (B.M.

Pierce) . 102

Can Nanotechnology Dramatically Affect the Architecture of Future Communications Networks?

(C.A. Murray) 104

Spatial Cognition and Converging Technologies (R. Golledge) 106

Visual Language and Converging Technologies in the Next 10-15 Years (and Beyond) (R.E. Horn)

124

Sociable Technologies: Enhancing Human Performance when the computer is not a tool but a

companion (S. Turkle) 133

Visionary Projects

Socio-tech…the Predictive Science of Societal Behavior (G. Yonas, J. Glicken Turnley). 140

Breaking the Limits on Design Complexity (J. Pollack) 143

Enhancing Personal Area Sensory and Social Communication Through Converging Technologies (R.

Burger) . 146

The Consequences of Fully Understanding the Brain (W. Robinett) . 148

User-Interface Olympics: Using Competition to Drive Innovation (W. Robinett). 151

Accelerating Convergence of Biotechnology, Nanotechnology, & Information Technology (L.T.

Wilson). 154

C. IMPROVING HUMAN HEALTH AND PHYSICAL CAPABILITIES 159

Theme C Summary

Statements

Nanobiotechnology and Life Extension (P. Connolly). 162

The Nano-Bio Connection and Its Implication for Human Performance (M. Heller) 169

Gene Therapy: Reinventing the Wheel or Useful Adjunct to Existing Paradigms? (J. Bonadio) 171

Implications of the Continuum of Bioinformatics (P.C. Johnson) 183

Sensory replacement and sensory substitution: Overview and prospects for the future (J.M.

Loomis) . 189

Vision Statement: Interacting Brain (B. Chance, K.A. Kang) 199

Focusing the possibilities of Nanotechnology for Cognitive Evolution and Human Performance (E.

Garcia-Rill) 201

Science and Technology and the Triple D (Disease, Disability, Defect) (G. Wolbring) 206

Visionary Projects

Brain-Machine Interface via a Neurovascular Approach (R. Llinás, V. Makarov) 216

Human-Machine Interaction: Potential Impact of Nanotechology in the Design of Neuroprosthetic

Devices Aimed at Restoring or Augmenting Human Performance (M. Nicolelis) . 223

Nanotechnology: The Merging of Diagnostics and Treatment (A.P. Lee). 226

Artificial Brains and Natural Intelligence (L. Cauller, A Penz) . 227

Converging Technologies for Physiological Self-regulation (A.T. Pope, O. Palsson). 231

Improving Quality of Life of Disabled People using Converging Technologies (G. Wolbring, R.

Golledge) 240

D. ENHANCING GROUP AND SOCIETAL OUTCOMES 243

Theme D Summary

Statements

Cognition, Social Interaction, Communication and Convergent Technologies (P. Rubin) . 245

Engineering the Science of Cognition to Enhance Human Performance (W.A. Wallace) 248

Engineering of Mind for Enhancing Human Productivity (J.S. Albus) 249

Making Sense of the World: Convergent Technologies for Environmental Science (J. Banfield) 260

Visionary Projects

The Communicator: Enhancement of Group Communication, Efficiency and Creativity (P. Rubin,

M. Hirschbein, T. Masciangioli, T. Miller, C. Murray, R. Norwood, J. Sargent). 265

Enhanced Knowledge-Based Human Organization and Social Change (K. Carley) . 270

A Vision for the Aircraft of the 21st Century (S. Venneri, M. Hirschbein, M. Dastoor). 275

Memetics: A Potential New Science (G. Strong, W.S. Bainbridge). 279

E. NATIONAL SECURITY 287

Theme E Summary

Statements

Cognitive Readiness: An Important Research Focus for National Security (D.M. Etter) 289

DARPA’s Programs in Enhancing Human Performance (M. Goldblatt) . 297

NBIC for Homeland Defense: Chemical/Biological/Radiological/Explosive (CBRE)

Detection/Protection (J. Murday). 301

Future Roles for Science and Technology in Counterterrorism (T. Fainberg) . 303

Nanotechnology and the Department of Defense (C. Lau). 308

Advanced Military Education and Training (J. Murday) 309

Visionary Projects

High-performance Warfighter (J. Murday). 311

Non-Drug Treatments for Enhancement of Human Performance (R. Asher). 313

Brain-Machine Interface (R. Asher) . 315

Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno as Enabling Technology for Uninhabited Combat Vehicles (C. Lau) 317

Data Linkage and Threat Anticipation Tool (T. Fainberg) . 318

F. UNIFYING SCIENCE AND EDUCATION. 321

Theme F Summary

Statements

Combining the Social and the Nanotech: A Model for Converging Technologies (M.E. Gorman) . 325



Breadth, Depth and Academic Nano-Niches (W. Tolles). 330

Unifying Principles in Complex Systems (Y. Bar-Yam) 335

Mind Over Matter in an Era of Convergent Technologies (D.L. Akins) 361

Converging Technology and Education for Improving Human Performance (A.H. Cohen) 363

Visionary Projects

Converging Technologies: A K-12 Education Vision (J.G. Batterson, A.T. Pope) 367

Expanding the Trading Zones for Convergent Technologies (M. Gorman). 374

Biological Language Modeling: Convergence of computational linguistics and biological chemistry (J.

Klein-Seetharaman, R. Reddy) 378

APPENDICES

A. List of Participants and Contributors . 387

B. Index of Authors 392

C. Index of Topics 404