The Cruise Missile Challenge

0,18

MB

56

stron

4558

ID

Center for Strategic and the Budgetary Assessments

2005

rok

CONTENTS

GLOSSARY

INTRODUCTION. 1

I. DEFINING THE SCOPE OF THE PROBLEM 5

II. KEY TRENDS IN CRUISE MISSILE PROLIFERATION . 9

Anti-Ship Cruise Missiles . 9

Assessing the ASCM Threat . 13

Countries of Concern 16

Trends 18

Land-Attack Cruise Missiles . 19

LACMs: Stockpiles and Programs 22

Purchase 24

Indigenous Development . 25

Converting an ASCM. 26

Converting Unmanned Aerial Vehicles and Kit Aircraft 28

III. MILITARY SIGNIFICANCE OF CRUISE MISSILE PROLIFERATION . 31

Advantages and Disadvantages. 32

Roles and Missions. 33

Plausible Scenarios for Cruise Missile Use. 35

The Persian Gulf 36

A War Across the Taiwan Strait 38

Terrorist Use 39

IV. IMPLICATIONS FOR THE DEFENSE DEPARTMENT 41