Putting the Brakes on Climate Change

0,23
MB

48
stron

4729
ID Institute for Public Policy Research

2003
rok

Contents

Executive Summary 1

Past and Current Traffic Levels 6

UK Transport CO2 Emissions 1990-2000 7

The National Transport Model 9

Traffic Growth Assumptions

Fuel Efficiency Assumptions

Fuel Price Assumptions

Conclusions of Official Forecasts

Alternative Forecasts to 2010 and 2020 17

Our Modelling Assumptions

Total CO2 Emissions by Sector 20

Road Transport CO2 Emissions by Vehicle Type 23

Implications for the UK’s Climate Change Targets 24

Summary of Key Findings

Mitigating Road Transport’s Contribution to Climate Change 25

Making CO2 Emissions from Road Transport a Policy Priority 25

Policy Recommendation

Using Price Signals to Reduce Traffic Growth 26

Fuel Taxation

Congestion Charging

Policy Recommendations

Extending and Developing Voluntary Agreements for Improving the Fuel Efficiency of Vehicles 34

Policy Recommendations

Encouraging Innovation and Long Term Investment in Future Low Carbon Vehicles 37

Policy Recommendations

References 40

Appendix 1: Model Used to Forecast Road Transport CO2 Emissions 43