THE U.S. NUCLEAR WAR PLAN: A TIME FOR CHANGE

5,97
MB

208
stron

4739
ID Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc.

2001
rok

CONTENTS

Executive Summary ix

Fighting Real Nuclear Wars: The Results x

What We Recommend xi

Chapter One: Purpose and Goals 1

An Overview 4

Chapter Two: The Single Integrated Operational Plan and 5

U.S. Nuclear Forces

A Brief History of the SIOP 5

The SIOP Planning Process 9

The Major Attack Options 11

Armament Demands of the SIOP 13

The SIOP and Deterrence 14

Chapter Three: The NRDC Nuclear War Simulation Model 17

Characteristics of the Attacking Nuclear Forces 17

Target Data 20

The Effects of Nuclear Explosions 25

Meteorological Data 36

Russian Demographic Data 36

Putting It All Together: The NRDC Software and Database Suite 39

Chapter Four: Attacking Russia’s Nuclear Forces 41

Silo-Based ICBMs 42

Road-Mobile ICBMs 51

Rail-Mobile ICBMs 60

SSBN Bases and Facilities 65

Long-Range Bomber Bases and Facilities 81

Nuclear Weapon Storage Sites 89

The Nuclear Weapon Design and Production Complex 96

Command, Control, and Communications 103

Conclusion 108

Chapter Five: Attacking Russian Cities: Two Countervalue Scenarios 113

“Assured Destruction:” Targeting Population Centers 114

Two Countervalue Scenarios 118

Revisiting McNamara’s Knee 126

Chapter Six: Conclusions and Policy Recommendations 129

Recommendations 131

Appendices 135

Appendix A: Functional Classification Codes 135

Appendix B: Data Fields in the NRDC Russian Target Database 149

Appendix C: NRDC Russian Target Database Target Classes, Categories, and Types 152

Appendix D: Nuclear Weapons Effects Equation List 161

Endnotes 191

About the Authors 198