U.S. Climate Action Report 2002

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ID UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

2002
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Introduction and Overview 2

National Circumstances: The U.S. Context 4

Greenhouse Gas Inventory 5

Policies and Measures 5

Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions 6

Impacts and Adaptation 6

Financial Resources and Transfer of Technology 6

Research and Systematic Observation 6

Education, Training, and Outreach 7

National Circumstances 8

Climate Profile 9

Geographic Profile 9

Population Profile 10

Government Structure 11

Federal Departments and Agencies 12

The U.S. Congress 12

States, Tribes, and Local Governments 12

The U.S. Court System 13

Economic Profile 13

Government and the Market Economy 13

Composition and Growth 13

Energy Production and Consumption 14

Resources 15

Production 16

Electricity Market Restructuring 17

Consumption 18

Sectoral Activities 18

Industry 18

Residential and Commercial Buildings 19

Transportation 20

Government 22

Waste 22

Agriculture 23

Grazing Land 23

Agricultural Land 23

Forests 24

Other Natural Resources 24

Wetlands 24

Wildlife 25

Water 25

Greenhouse Gas Inventory 26

Recent Trends in U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions 28

Global Warming Potentials 32

Carbon Dioxide Emissions 37

Energy 38

Industrial Processes 41

Land-Use Change and Forestry 42

Waste 42

Methane Emissions 42

Landfills 43

Natural Gas and Petroleum Systems 43

Coal Mining 44

Agriculture 44

Other Sources 44

Nitrous Oxide Emissions 45

Agricultural Soil Management 45

Fuel Combustion 45

Nitric Acid Production 45

Manure Management 46

Adipic Acid Production 46

Other Sources 46

HFC, PFC, and SF6 Emissions 46

Substitution of Ozone-Depleting Substances 46

Other Industrial Sources 46

Emissions of Ozone-Depleting Substances 46

Criteria Pollutant Emissions 48

Policies and Measures 50

National Policymaking Process 51

Federal Policies and Measures 52

Energy: Residential and Commercial 53

Energy: Industrial 54

Energy: Supply 55

Transportation 56

Industry (Non-CO2) 58

Agriculture 59

Forestry 60

Waste Management 60

Cross-sectoral 61

Nonfederal Policies and Measures 61

State Initiatives 61

Local Initiatives 62

Private-Sector and NGO Initiatives 62

Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions 70

The NEMS Model and Policies Coverage 71

Assumptions Used to Estimate Future CO2 Emissions 71

U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions: 2000–2020 72

Net U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions: 2000–2020 73

CO2Emissions 74

Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Emissions 76

Carbon Sequestration 78

Adjustments to Greenhouse Gas Emissions 78

Future of the President’s February 2002 Climate Change Initiative 78

Key Uncertainties Affecting Projections 79

Technology Development (+ or -) 79

Regulatory or Statutory Changes (+ or -) 80

Energy Prices (+ or -) 80

Economic Growth (+ or -) 80

Weather (+ or -) 80

Impacts and Adaptation 81

Summary of the National Assessment 81

Introduction 83

Weather and Climate Context 84

Projected Changes in the Mean Climate 84

Projected Changes in Climate Variability 87

Potential Consequences of and Adaptation to Climate Change 88

Potential Interactions with Land Cover 89

Potential Interactions with Agriculture 92

Potential Interactions with Forests 96

Potential Interactions with Water Resources 99

Potential Interactions with Coastal Areas and Marine Resources 103

Potential Interactions with Human Health 106

Potential Impacts in Various U.S. Regions 109

Federal Research Activities 109

Interagency Research Subcommittees 110

Individual Agency Research Activities 111

Other Research Activities 112

Financial Resources and Transfer of Technology 113

Types and Sources of U.S. Assistance 114

U.S. Government Assistance 115

NGO Assistance 116

Private-Sector Assistance 117

Major U.S. Government Initiatives 117

U.S. Initiative on Joint Implementation 117

U.S. Country Studies Program 118

Climate Change Initiative 118

Public–Private Partnership Activities 119

Technology Cooperation Agreement Pilot Project 119

Climate Technology Initiative 120

U.S.–Asia Environmental Partnership 120

EcoLinks 121

Energy Partnership Program 121

Forest Conservation Partnerships 122

U.S. Government Assistance Addressing Vulnerability and Adaptation 122

U.S. Financial Flow Information, 1997–2000 123

Financial Contributions to the Global Environment Facility 123

Financial Contributions to Multilateral Institutions and Programs 123

Bilateral and Regional Financial Contributions 124

Summary of Financial Flow Information for 1997–2000 125

Funding Types 125

Regional Trends 126

Mitigation Activities 127

Adaptation Activities 131

Other Global Climate Change Activities 136

Research and Systematic Observation 137

Research 139

U.S. Climate Change Research Initiative 139