Report of the Independent Scientific Review Panel on the

2,04
MB Impacts of Sakhalin II Phase 2 on Western North Pacific Gray

131
stron Whales and Related Biodiversity

4822
ID World Conservation Union

2005
rok

CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.3

1 BACKGROUND.3

2 OVERALL CONCLUSIONS3

3 REVIEW OF INDIVIDUAL THREATS AND PROPOSED MEASURES 5

4 INFORMATION GAPS AND ESSENTIAL MONITORING.7

5 THE NEED FOR A COMPREHENSIVE STRATEGY TO SAVE WESTERN GRAY WHALES AND

THEIR HABITAT.8

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS9

CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION.10

1 BACKGROUND.10

2 TERMS OF REFERENCE10

3 PROCESS FOLLOWED.11

CHAPTER II: REVIEW OF KNOWLEDGE ON WESTERN GRAY WHALES.14

4 POPULATION IDENTITY 14

5 DISTRIBUTION, MIGRATION, MOVEMENT.14

6 SAKHALIN HABITAT 15

7 FEEDING ECOLOGY16

8 HEALTH.16

9 ABUNDANCE AND BIOLOGICAL PARAMETERS.19

10 INFORMATION NEEDS .21

CHAPTER III: GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF PRESENT AND PROPOSED OIL AND GAS

ACTIVITIES IN THE SAKHALIN REGION 25

1 OVERVIEW25

2 PRESENT AND PROPOSED OFFSHORE ACTIVITIES25

CHAPTER IV: DISCUSSION OF ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL THREATS TO WESTERN GRAY

WHALES FROM PROPOSED OIL AND GAS ACTIVITIES29

1 NOISE.29

2 COLLISIONS41

3 OIL AND GAS SPILLS AND ACCIDENTS 47

4 ECOLOGICAL EFFECTS OF PHYSICAL CHANGES TO HABITAT 65

CHAPTER V: FACTORS POTENTIALLY AFFECTING THE SURVIVAL OF WESTERN GRAY

WHALES IN ADDITION TO THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH SAKHALIN OIL AND GAS

DEVELOPMENT 72

1 DIRECT CATCHES .72

2 BYCATCHES IN FISHING GEAR72

3 VESSEL COLLISIONS 72

4 DISEASE, TOXIC ALGAL BLOOMS AND EXPOSURE TO CONTAMINANTS72

5 PREDATION 72

CHAPTER VI: CUMULATIVE EFFECTS OF THE FACTORS DISCUSSED UNDER CHAPTERS IV &

V.74

1 FACTORS TO BE CONSIDERED.74

2 SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL SCALES.74

3 RECEPTORS (WHALES) AND THEIR RESPONSES 75

4 MAGNITUDE OF EFFECTS AND THEIR INTERACTIONS 75

CHAPTER VII: USE OF SIMULATION MODELLING TO ASSESS THE IMPLICATIONS OF

VARIOUS INDUSTRIAL AND OTHER SCENARIOS ON WESTERN GRAY WHALE SURVIVAL

AND RECOVERY.80

1 INTRODUCTION.80

2 ADDITIONAL DEATHS .84

3 IMPACTS ON FEEDING AND REPRODUCTIVE SUCCESS .84

CHAPTER VIII: OVERALL CONCLUSIONS.94

1 CUMULATIVE EFFECTS AND MODELLING (CHAPTERS VI AND VII) .94

2 NOISE (SEE CHAPTER IV, ITEM 1).95

3 COLLISIONS/SHIP STRIKES (SEE CHAPTER IV, ITEM 2).96

4 OIL EXPOSURE (SEE CHAPTER IV, ITEM 3) 96

5 PHYSICAL DISTURBANCE (SEE CHAPTER IV, ITEM 4) 97

6 PIPELINE SITING DECISION97

7 ADEQUACY OF DOCUMENTATION.97

8 INFORMATION GAPS AND ESSENTIAL MONITORING.97

9 THE NEED FOR A COMPREHENSIVE STRATEGY TO SAVE WESTERN GRAY WHALES AND

THEIR HABITAT.98