Climate Change SCIENCE

0,31
MB

40
stron

4935
ID National Academies Press

2001
rok

Contents

SUMMARY 1

1 CLIMATE, CLIMATE FORCINGS, CLIMATE SENSITIVITY, AND TRANSIENT CLIMATE CHANGE

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Climate, 6

Climate Forcings, 6

Climate Sensitivity, 6

Transient Climate Change, 7

2 NATURAL CLIMATIC VARIATIONS 8

3 HUMAN CAUSED FORCINGS 9

Greenhouse Gases, 9

Aerosols, 12

Climate Forcings in the Industrial Era, 12

4 CLIMATE SYSTEM MODELS 15

5 OBSERVED CLIMATE CHANGE DURING THE INDUSTRIAL ERA 16

The Occurrence of Climate Change, 16

The Effect of Human Activities, 17

6 FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE 18

Estimating Future Climate Change, 18

7 ASSESSING PROGRESS IN CLIMATE SCIENCE 22

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 22

Research Priorities, 23

APPENDIXES

A Letter from the White House 25

B Biographical Sketches of Committee Members and Staff 26