Stakeholder-Assisted Modeling and Policy Design Process for

3,38
MB Engineering Systems

462
stron

5068
ID Massachusetts Institute of Technology

2005
rok

Contents

Acknowledgments5

Abstract.7

Table of Contents.9

Table of Figures. 12

Table of Tables 15

Chapter 1 17

Introduction. 17

At the Outset . 17

1.1 Motivation and Context: Engineering Systems and Public Policymaking . 19

1.2 Significance of Dissertation Topic . 22

1.3 Dissertation Objective: A Better Engineering Systems Decision-making Process. 25

1.4 Methodology 26

1.5 Research Focus 30

1.6 Case Study: Permit Process for the Cape Wind Project 31

1.7 Dissertation Structure. 32

1.8 Chapter Summary 37

Chapter 2 39

Engineering Systems Analysis. 39

2.1 What are Engineering Systems? . 39

2.2 Engineering Systems Analysis Methodologies . 45

2.3 The CLIOS Process . 53

2.4 CLIOS Representation Stage (Steps 1-5) 56

2.5 CLIOS Design, Evaluation and Selection Stage (Steps 6-9) . 63

2.7 Critique of Engineering Systems Methodologies 71

2.8 Chapter Summary 73

Chapter 3 75

The Role of Expert Analysis in Decision-Making. 75

3.1 The Role of Technical Expertise in Engineering Systems Policymaking 75

3.2 Challenges for Effective Use of Science in Engineering Systems Policy 77

3.3 Perceived Scientists/Expert Bias and Scientific Advocacy 79

3.4 Communicating Science and Scientific Uncertainty . 85

3.5 Interactions among stakeholders, decision-makers and scientists/experts 88

3.6 System Representations and System Models as Boundary Objects in Science- Intensive

Disputes . 91

3.7 Obstacles to Increasing the Role of Expertise in Decision-making . 93

Chapter 4 99

Stakeholders Involvement in Engineering Systems 99

4.1 Institutional Support for Public Involvement throughout History99

4.2 Who is a Stakeholder Anyway? 104

4.3 Levels of Stakeholder Participation 105

4.4 Rationale for Stakeholder Participation 108

4.5 Existing Public Participation Methodologies for Engineering Systems . 111

4.6 Pros and Cons of Stakeholder Participation in Decision-Making 124

4.7 Insights and Challenges from Past Stakeholder Process Experiences 126

4.8 Contributions of this Dissertation to the Stakeholder Participation Literature . 127

4.9 Critique of Stakeholder Involvement in Engineering Systems 128

4.10 Chapter Summary 130

Chapter 5 133

Systems Representation and Decision-making. 133

5.1 Representations and the Abstraction of Reality 134

5.2 Internal Representation: Mental Maps 135

5.3 External Representation: Words and Imagery. 135

5.4 Representations, Beliefs and Value Systems 137

5.5 Representation and Bias. 138

5.6 Engineering Systems Representation 140

5.7 Experiments in Engineering Systems Representation . 143

5.8 Stakeholders, Conflict and Systems Representation 150

5.9 Challenges with Involving Stakeholder in Engineering Systems Representation. 151

5.10 Designing an Effective Stakeholder-Assisted Representation Process 154

5.11 Limitations of System Representation as a Basis for Collaborative Processes. 155

5.12 Chapter Summary 156

Chapter 6 159

Stakeholder-Assisted Modeling and Policy Design 159

6.1 The Stakeholder-Assisted Modeling and Policy Design Process (SAM-PD). 159

6.2 The SAM-PD Process 162

6.3 Problem Identification and Process Preparation Stage 166

6.5 Extracting Contextual Knowledge from Stakeholder Statements 177

6.6 System Representation, Evaluation, and Policy Design Stage (CLIOS Steps 1-9). 182

6.8 Consensus-seeking Negotiation (CLIOS Steps 7-9) 194

6.9 Process Effectiveness and Validity Assessment Through Peer Review. 198

6.10 Implementation and Post-implementation Stage (CLIOS Steps 10-12) . 202

6.11 Chapter Summary 205

Chapter 7 207

The Cape Wind Offshore Wind Energy Project 207

7.1 Project Timeline 208

7.2 Legal Context for Offshore Wind Energy Development in Massachusetts 209

7.3 Project Overview . 210

7.4 The Environmental Impact Assessment Process . 211

7.5 Public Reaction to Cape Wind . 215

7.6 Stakeholder Involvement in the Cape Wind Project 218

7.7 Major Sources of Dispute in the DEIS . 220

7.8 Current Status of the Project 222

7.9 Chapter Summary 222

Chapter 8 225

Stakeholder-Assisted System Representation of Cape Wind. 225

8.1 Applying the SAM-PD Process to the Cape Wind Project 225

8.2 Problem Identification and Process Preparation 226

8.3 Stakeholder Conflict Assessment . 231

8.4 Problem Refinement and System Definition. 250

8.5 Initial Stakeholder-Assisted Representation . 250

8.6 Stakeholder-Refined Systems Representation. 278

8.7 Workshop Dynamics and Results. 288

8.8 Exploring the Hypothesis Through Stakeholder Feedback Survey 294

8.9 Additional Feedback from the Stakeholder Survey. 296

8.10 Comparing the Refined Stakeholder-Assisted Representation with the U.S. Army Corps of

Engineers Scoping Document 298

8.12 Chapter Summary 305

Chapter 9 307

Learning from the Cape Wind Case Study 307

9.1 SAM-PD Process Preparation 307

9.2 Collaborative Process Dynamics 311

9.3 System Representation as a Basis for Collaborative Process. 312

9.4 Compatibility of SAM-PD with Current Permitting Process. 316

9.5 Additional Insights From the Cape Coordinate Community Energy Planning Process 317

9.6 Chapter Summary 318

Chapter 10 319

The Mexico City Transportation/Air Pollution System. 319

10.1 Applying SAM-PD to the Mexico City Transportation/Air Pollution System. 319

10.2 Background on the Mexico City Transportation/Air Pollution System 320

10.3 The Mexico City Project and the Impact of Its Recommendations 321

10.4 Stakeholder Involvement in the Mexico City Project 327

10.5 Using SAM-PD for the Mexico City Transportation/Air Pollution System. 329

10.6 Obstacles to Collaborative Process for the Mexico City Project and Other Developing Country

Systems. 348

10.7 Chapter Summary 349

Chapter 11 351

Conclusion and Future Work . 351

11.1 Summary of Dissertation 351

11.2 Contributions of this Dissertation. 353

11.3 Observations from Dissertation 359

11.4 Validations of the Hypothesis 367

11.5 Limitation of the Research . 370

11.6 Future Work. 371

11.7 A Closing Word. 373

Glossary . 377

Appendix A - Cape Wind Online Survey Invitation Letter and Survey Questionnaire and Raw Survey

Results 389

Appendix B Offshore Wind Energy Stakeholder-Assisted System Representation Invitation and

Assessment Survey 415

APPENDIX C Refined System Representations for Cape Wind. 420

Appendix D Cape and Islands Coordinate Community Energy Planning Process System

Representation and Survey Results 431