The Radioactive Legacy of the Russian Pacific Fleet Operations

3,29

MB

and its Potential Impact on Neighboring Countries

102

stron

5525

ID

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

2003

rok

Contents

List of Figures iv

List of Tables . vi

1 Introduction 1

2 Background: Facilities and Source Terms. 4

2.1 Primorye Territory4

2.1.1 Pavlovsk Bay Naval Base. 4

2.1.2 Bolshoi Kamen and the Far Eastern Plant Zvezda . 15

2.1.3 Chazhma Bay Ship Repair Facility 21

2.1.4 Razboinik Bay Naval Station . 21

2.1.5 Cape Sysoeva Naval Waste Facility. 22

2.2 Kamchatka Oblast. 24

2.2.1 Seldevaya Bay Naval Shipyard 26

2.2.2 Kamchatka Refuelling and Waste Management Facility . 26

2.2.3 Rybachy Naval Base.29

2.3 Spent Fuel Storage Characteristics . 30

2.3.1 Shore Based Storage in Transport Casks 30

2.3.2 Project 326 Class Floating Workshops. 31

2.3.3 Project 326M Class Floating Workshops . 32

2.3.4 Project 2020 (“Malina”) Class Floating Workshops 32

2.4 Conclusions 33

3 Transboundary Atmospheric Transport 35

3.1 Climactic Settings. 35

3.2 Probability of Transport: Trajectory Analyses . 39

3.2.1 Methodology.40

3.2.2 Results And Discussion 43

3.2.3 Conclusions 54

3.3 Case Study: Atmospheric Transport and Deposition to Japan from an Accident in Southern

Primorye Territory. 55

3.3.1 Brief Description of WSPEEDI 55

3.3.2 Wind Field Analysis for January 1997 . 56

3.3.3 Analysis of the Results . 57

3.3.4 Parametric Study 62

3.3.5 Dose Assessment 63

3.3.6 Conclusions and Discussions . 65

4 Consequence Assessment . 66

4.1 Methodology. 67

4.1.1 Selection of Critical Deposition Level . 68

4.1.2 Selection of Atmospheric Transfer Factor 69

4.1.3 Critical Release and Critical Release Factor 71

4.2 Release Fractions from Severe Accidents 72

4.2.1 Identification of Potential Accidents 74

4.3 Data. 77

4.3.1 Selection of Target Region. 77

4.3.2 Critical Deposition Level77

4.3.3 Determination of Atmospheric Transfer Coefficient . 78

4.4 Results 79

5 Conclusions and Recommendations. 84

5.1 Conclusions 84

5.1.1 Source Term .84

5.1.2 Transport and Consequence Analysis 86

5.2 Recommendations 87

6 References 88