The Iraq War and Lessons Relating to Intelligence and Weapons

0,31

MB

of Mass Destruction

47

stron

5770

ID

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

2003

rok

Table of Contents

INTELLIGENCE STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES 4

THE NEED FOR BETTER ASSESSMENT, CHARACTERIZATION, AND LOCATION OF WEAPONS

OF MASS DESTRUCTION AND KEY DELIVERY SYSTEMS 5

Key Points in the U.S. and British White Papers 5

British Summary . 6

Chemical Warfare Program 9

CIA: Nuclear Warfare 16

Problems in Collecting Data on Iraqi and Other Country WMD Capabilities and Delivery Systems 17

Problems in Analyzing Iraqi and Other Country WMD Capabilities and Delivery Systems 20

THE POLITICS OF CHARACTERIZING AND TARGETING IRAQI WMD CAPABILITIES AND

DELIVERY SYSTEMS . 21

Dealing with a Proven Proliferator 22

The Issues Left By Iraqi Compliance with the UN Effort 23

The Costs of Politicizing Intelligence . 28

THE NEED FOR RAPID AND RELIABLE CHARACTERIZATION OF CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL

AGENTS AND THE COALITION INTELLIGENCE EFFORT . 32

ORGANIZED SEARCHES FOR WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION IN PROLIFERATING

COUNTRIES: THE SEARCH DURING AND AFTER THE WAR . 34

The Initial Search Effort . 35

Expanding the Effort and Creating the Iraq Survey Group (ISG) 36

Conversion to a Forensic Search Effort 37

LESSONS FOR THE FUTURE . 38